Navigating Rough Roads: The Impact of Declining Freight Rates on Trucking Companies

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In the complex world of logistics, a significant concern for many trucking companies today is the recent drop in freight rates. The pressures put on these businesses due to this decrease are multifold and have implications that reverberate throughout the entire industry.

The Driving Forces of Freight Rates
Freight rates are determined by the balance between supply and demand in the freight market. In principle, when the demand for freight services exceeds the available capacity, freight rates rise. Conversely, when there is an oversupply of trucks compared to demand, freight rates fall. Recently, various factors such as economic downturns, decreased manufacturing output, and shifts in global trade have contributed to a lower demand for freight services, leading to a drop in freight rates.

Financial Strain on Trucking Companies
A significant drop in freight rates inevitably puts financial pressure on trucking companies. The profit margin for these businesses tends to be relatively slim to start with; a decrease in rates can eat away at those margins quickly. Companies may find it difficult to cover operating costs such as fuel, truck maintenance, insurance, and employee salaries when rates are low.

Furthermore, in an effort to stay competitive, many trucking companies had previously invested in expanding their fleet capacity during times of high demand. With the downturn in rates, these investments may become burdensome financial obligations. For instance, loans taken out to buy new trucks or lease additional equipment suddenly become more challenging to service.

Operational Pressures and Quality Concerns
Operational pressures also mount as companies try to navigate the turbulent waters of low freight rates. Companies may feel compelled to operate at maximum capacity, overstretching resources and potentially compromising the quality of their service. Additionally, to cut costs, businesses might postpone necessary vehicle maintenance, leading to increased safety concerns and long-term damage to their fleet.

Low freight rates can also negatively impact driver retention and recruitment. Reduced earnings potential may discourage experienced drivers from staying in the profession and deter new entrants. Given the trucking industry's persistent driver shortage problem, this compounds the challenges faced by these businesses.

Strategic Difficulties and Market Evolution
Strategically, a drop in freight rates can disrupt long-term business planning. Companies may be forced to reconsider expansion plans, technological investments, or diversification strategies, further stifling their growth potential.

Moreover, the trucking industry is experiencing significant evolution with the advent of electric and autonomous vehicles, as well as advances in logistics technology. Lower freight rates could hamper the ability of companies to invest in these emerging technologies, potentially leaving them behind in a rapidly changing market.

Conclusion
The drop in freight rates places considerable pressure on trucking companies, both financially and operationally. These businesses are navigating a challenging landscape marked by narrow profit margins, shifting demand patterns, and ongoing industry evolution. However, such adversity can also spur innovation and efficiency. Companies that can strategically manage these pressures, perhaps by investing in advanced technologies or streamlining operations, are likely to emerge stronger in the long run. Despite the current pressures, the future of the trucking industry is far from bleak, laden with potential opportunities alongside the apparent challenges.
 
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I used to see articles about this on "Freight-Waves" but everyone says they over-,react to any news stories .

What gets me is the Fuel never came down Diesel still like $4 a gallon at the Truckstops by the highway..

Welp I guess it ain't 5 or Six bucks like last year but still even if your truck averages 7/8mpg that's still a big expense on every load ...

Also maintenance & parts have only gone up too since COVID..

What I do not see those is prior to COVID there was a Trucking "Recession" and lots of Bankruptcies even big names like New England Motor Freight "Nemf" and "Celedon" outta Indianapolis went "under" the last freight downturn before COVID Crisis

Today I don't see or not hearing yet of major "bankruptcies" or is it during covid supply chain crisis Alot more smaller guys with 1/2 trucks even small feet owners with a handful of trucks got in during the COVID Supply Chain bonanza and ya wouldn't really hear about guys like that going broke atleast in the media..

Can't find it but I read somewhere during COVID Supply Chain crisis companies might have set aside the good rates and got more Ca$h burn thru and try hang on until rates pick up again
 
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The way our fuel surcharge is calculated, I was doing better when fuel was close to 6 bucks a gallon.
Yeah I've heard others say that too but please explain..

Closest 2 "Owner Operator" I ever got was getting "Lease Purchase" and been "Company Driver" or "Employee" since that "Disaster"
 
Yeah I've heard others say that too but please explain..

Closest 2 "Owner Operator" I ever got was getting "Lease Purchase" and been "Company Driver" or "Employee" since that "Disaster"
Our fuel surcharge is a percentage of line haul, not a per mile rate.

We were getting 60-70% of line haul paid out for fuel, plus line haul, and the shorter the run the more it paid per mile, but not paid on a mile basis.

IOW the fuel surcharge outpaced the usage.

Plus I know shorter routes to most of our customers that take the same time but get me better mpgs.
 
Fuel surcharge will always benefit contract carriers in the short term, but huge swings in fuel prices like we seen is part of what has resulted in the contract rates steadily lowering now.

@Uncle Birchy , you may see some medium size fleets, maybe even some large ones go bankrupt as contract rates slowly but surely continue their downturn. Contract carriers will see the pain the most just before we begin to see spot market rates begin to recover.

This will also be the time where you see those leased to contract carriers begin to jump ship over into the spot market again.

All that said, we haven’t seen the bottom on either the spot market or the contract side.
 
Fuel surcharge will always benefit contract carriers in the short term, but huge swings in fuel prices like we seen is part of what has resulted in the contract rates steadily lowering now.

@Uncle Birchy , you may see some medium size fleets, maybe even some large ones go bankrupt as contract rates slowly but surely continue their downturn. Contract carriers will see the pain the most just before we begin to see spot market rates begin to recover.

This will also be the time where you see those leased to contract carriers begin to jump ship over into the spot market again.

All that said, we haven’t seen the bottom on either the spot market or the contract side.
We just signed a new rate agreement and it's the same as it's always been.

Our problem is with volume, not rates. Of course the problem with volume is due to spot/OTR rates dropping and being more appealing to get it across the country faster (in theory) with fewer hands on it.

IOW Mike is now cheap enough to have him do it and be responsible for it from start to finish, rather than have it under one driver then swapped from chassis to train to another train to another train to a chassis and yet another driver, with each having a potential for loss or damage.

Having said that, Amazon has cranked up their rail usage, and there's no shortage of blue boxes going in and out. They control their own rates though.
 

Fuel surcharge will always benefit contract carriers in the short term, but huge swings in fuel prices like we seen is part of what has resulted in the contract rates steadily lowering now.

@Uncle Birchy , you may see some medium size fleets, maybe even some large ones go bankrupt as contract rates slowly but surely continue their downturn. Contract carriers will see the pain the most just before we begin to see spot market rates begin to recover.

This will also be the time where you see those leased to contract carriers begin to jump ship over into the spot market again.

All that said, we haven’t seen the bottom on either the spot market or the contract side.
How do ya think this will affect Drivers "Wages"..

Sure I'm at "Home" 4 now what if my current job suddenly doesn't work out anymore..

Heck I'm not even $aving "Ahead" anymore today $16 dollars an hour about covers the "Bills" and I been getting a little "Over-Time" on Saturdays too

I could "Cut" afew things "Sure" but then Life would just "Stink" start wishing I was "Dead" once Again .

Already had 4 "separate" Real World jobs this "Calendar" year alone.... although I don't think Arby's counts I moonlighting Nights weekends down the street back at my
"Telemarketing Office gig like 10/15 hours a week if I did Weekends did upwards of 20 hours at Arby's

My "next" Job gonna be hitting the Highway "probably"
 
How do ya think this will affect Drivers "Wages"..

Sure I'm at "Home" 4 now what if my current job suddenly doesn't work out anymore..

Heck I'm not even $aving "Ahead" anymore today $16 dollars an hour about covers the "Bills" and I been getting a little "Over-Time" on Saturdays too

I could "Cut" afew things "Sure" but then Life would just "Stink" start wishing I was "Dead" once Again .

Already had 4 "separate" Real World jobs this "Calendar" year alone.... although I don't think Arby's counts I moonlighting Nights weekends down the street back at my
"Telemarketing Office gig like 10/15 hours a week if I did Weekends did upwards of 20 hours at Arby's

My "next" Job gonna be hitting the Highway "probably"
It's hard to get a company driver to take a pay cut. Look at Yellow. They're about to go under... again...due to lack of concessions from the union...again. Mismanagement as well, but still. Drivers once they see a certain level of income absolutely don't want to lose it.

But when the company goes under they lose more than just a cut. Then they're in for a rude awakening with the shrunken job market.

"F that, I can walk out of here and get a job anywhere!" Yeah not so much.
 
You may get a job just anywhere, but the grass isn't always greener on the other side of the road. Those goonion drivers have the pay and the benes to make it worthwhile. Go from that to something like JB or pumpkin, or CRE. They'll wish that had that cushy goonion job back.
 
It's hard to get a company driver to take a pay cut. Look at Yellow. They're about to go under... again...due to lack of concessions from the union...again. Mismanagement as well, but still. Drivers once they see a certain level of income absolutely don't want to lose it.

But when the company goes under they lose more than just a cut. Then they're in for a rude awakening with the shrunken job market.

"F that, I can walk out of here and get a job anywhere!" Yeah not so much.
Union workers won’t take a pay cut because they do whatever the union boss tells them to do. They will stand with the union right into bankruptcy and loss of their homes.

Regular OTR drivers? Not so much. If you remember 2008, lots of companies cut pay and benefits and for the most part the drivers just whined and stayed at their jobs.
 
When I worked at the airport it was a union shop. Company wanted to cut pay for all the new hires and create a "B" pay scale, less pay. They took a vote and the majority were in favor of the "B" scale for new hires. (I voted no).
Wait a minute I thought this union was a brotherhood? Yet you don't mind screwing new hires, future brothers and sisters?
Union leaders were in favor of voting for the "B" scale.

IMO not much of a brotherhood. More like I got mine screw my brothers and sisters.
To make a short story long... I have no use for unions! Leaders and members only care about themselves.
Anyone with any kind of skill and drive can get a better deal with their own bargaining.
Collective bargaining is bargaining with a collection of idiots.
 

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